Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1145.732616 1316.429139 1512.481369 1756.264195 2053.998196 2409.364977 2.871047e+03
2024-12-22 898.806197 1112.478875 1383.849001 1761.304706 2285.235034 3006.721062 4.113025e+03
2024-12-29 781.595292 1013.386293 1327.253781 1797.621863 2511.507608 3603.822065 5.512420e+03
2025-01-05 671.615551 899.468335 1222.325840 1733.197497 2562.567220 3941.088252 6.625000e+03
2025-01-12 591.783858 813.509837 1139.514363 1679.261241 2607.478080 4267.523076 7.840321e+03
2025-01-19 527.211950 740.348955 1063.412692 1619.010329 2622.952331 4538.577412 9.060969e+03
2025-01-26 502.805069 723.773707 1070.884722 1695.573460 2894.792923 5377.941259 1.200292e+04
2025-02-02 475.303017 698.620552 1060.248198 1737.211617 3108.608157 6169.784212 1.536382e+04
2025-02-09 448.182630 670.807626 1041.033349 1758.815832 3285.807039 6943.060930 1.928924e+04
2025-02-16 419.206712 636.873808 1006.928486 1745.846331 3385.141680 7562.994533 2.327816e+04
2025-02-23 403.384071 623.375334 1006.993626 1799.800439 3648.636533 8732.955845 3.072643e+04
2025-03-02 389.021054 610.868550 1007.106821 1853.442098 3925.881805 10080.619126 4.102304e+04
2025-03-09 371.166126 591.540751 994.058400 1881.080215 4158.146503 11460.192038 5.455701e+04
2025-03-16 350.527098 565.587322 965.831068 1871.515819 4293.279589 12608.995170 6.978633e+04
2025-03-23 337.390003 552.075076 960.268018 1912.675300 4584.770694 14556.041598 9.831097e+04
2025-03-30 314.495077 518.550368 911.099917 1842.637024 4527.626309 15039.534294 1.149554e+05
2025-04-06 294.867135 489.798826 869.096811 1784.257018 4493.601092 15629.095404 1.364187e+05
2025-04-13 276.355499 461.947557 826.601841 1719.065958 4423.315798 16026.192912 1.583943e+05
2025-04-20 272.237840 461.479504 841.475180 1801.913367 4871.445612 19451.164200 2.655926e+05
2025-04-27 265.124108 454.568841 841.801365 1847.007688 5207.876104 22667.554910 4.287054e+05
2025-05-04 256.798618 444.625039 834.495569 1870.415741 5475.709250 25817.159246 6.881693e+05
2025-05-11 246.361081 429.720735 814.785229 1856.362498 5596.146462 28140.781024 1.025303e+06
2025-05-18 241.584973 426.013770 820.076066 1914.841901 6036.502303 33616.217816 2.191268e+06